Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.551796 12.154660 13.873151 15.847343 18.047119 20.417388 23.158854
2025-09-21 8.358990 10.515317 12.991394 16.024344 19.617348 23.715555 28.719677
2025-09-28 6.944625 9.354273 12.270359 16.017488 20.659301 26.173122 33.165922
2025-10-05 6.114433 8.722556 12.019306 16.423947 22.078547 29.013219 38.070116
2025-10-12 5.422982 8.150134 11.734935 16.692364 23.257592 31.532847 42.613470
2025-10-19 4.801661 7.580404 11.369159 16.777648 24.145492 33.663912 46.694737
2025-10-26 4.121887 6.840017 10.684779 16.348379 24.279689 34.772671 49.445518
2025-11-02 3.586788 6.243182 10.133804 16.035885 24.514688 35.978600 52.320114
2025-11-09 3.125157 5.701380 9.604911 15.696411 24.662225 37.035448 54.992538
2025-11-16 2.740337 5.234446 9.139977 15.401753 24.832240 38.099067 57.677202
2025-11-23 2.367374 4.741874 8.587450 14.924033 24.688796 38.689791 59.693465
2025-11-30 2.158604 4.504836 8.415865 15.011298 25.372511 40.465707 63.417127
2025-12-07 1.952904 4.253225 8.203507 15.024370 25.950250 42.120688 67.045071
2025-12-14 1.796550 4.073922 8.095495 15.193439 26.768568 44.150211 71.272694
2025-12-21 1.628629 3.851900 7.892863 15.186872 27.299749 45.756621 74.913560
2025-12-28 1.537500 3.769777 7.927748 15.575942 28.470946 48.359059 80.097579
2026-01-04 1.435683 3.653590 7.889860 15.832917 29.431333 50.660658 84.884622
2026-01-11 1.320277 3.494676 7.758669 15.914572 30.099228 52.521300 89.043852
2026-01-18 1.157303 3.211152 7.366720 15.503601 29.917730 53.033726 91.138155
2026-01-25 1.025023 2.977862 7.050194 15.204480 29.903075 53.797390 93.626567
2026-02-01 0.904570 2.754669 6.732843 14.879585 29.821384 54.439468 95.928169
2026-02-08 0.801239 2.557411 6.449717 14.597626 29.794868 55.159892 98.359772
2026-02-15 0.694272 2.333824 6.089700 14.140585 29.429375 55.300626 99.856076